Alex Thorn: Lower the probability of passing the Clarity Act to 60%

Galaxy research director Alex Thorn stated that he has lowered the probability of the Clarity Act passing in 2026 from 75% to 60%. He pointed out that the bill has been passed by the committee with 15 votes in favor and 9 votes against, but the Senate legislative schedule is the main obstacle. The bill needs to be passed before the summer recess of Congress at the end of July, otherwise the possibility of passing it in the fall will decrease. In addition, the ethical clause remains unresolved and requires the support of at least 9 Democratic lawmakers to pass. He is cautious about pushing the bill forward after the September recess.