Bitcoin's current price has dropped to around 60,360. For those who went long or bought the dip above 60K, make sure to take profits or stop losses in time. A series of major bearish factors are gathering over the crypto space. The so-called 'iron bottom' at 60K is like a paper window—poke it, and it breaks. It's only a matter of time. I don't care if others are calling 40K or 30K as the bottom of this bear market. I have my own trading system and independent thinking. My prediction is clear and firm: The probability of this bear market's bottom being between 42.5K-45K is as high as 90%. If a black swan event occurs, BTC's price could wick down to 38K-40K.