请叫我 MaiK
请叫我 MaiK|Jun 05, 2026 01:41
My thoughts on BTC: We probably won't see the true bottom until at least October this year. It's hard to say if the current price is the real bottom. If you're planning to buy the dip, doing it in batches is the safest approach. The overall trend is still downward. 1. From a macro perspective, a bull market needs a clear catalyst (e.g., significant interest rate cuts, major policy benefits, or a full recovery in risk appetite). So far, there's been no shift in macro policies. 2. The halving cycle theory of price movements still holds. BTC's halving in April 2024 could lead to a cycle peak of $126K by October 2025 (typically, the peak occurs 1 to 1.5 years after halving). After that, it will enter the next decline phase. The period from October 2025 to October 2026 is exactly one year, meaning we likely won't hit the bottom until at least October. So, in my opinion, the bull market won't start until October, followed by a 3-4 month bottoming-out phase.
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