财经悟空
财经悟空|6月 04, 2026 23:20
Waiting for it to resonate with the stock market. My ideal scenario is the AI bubble bursts, and both the US stock market and Bitcoin crash together. History always has an uncanny way of repeating itself. On October 6, 2025, Bitcoin ($BTC) hits an all-time high of $126,200. Following the historical pattern of the four-year halving cycle, after the peak, there’s a one-year crash to the lowest point. In December 2017, Bitcoin peaked at $20,000, then crashed for a year to its lowest point. By December 2018, Bitcoin had dropped over 85%, falling below $3,000. In November 2021, Bitcoin peaked at $69,000. Then came a one-year crash, and by November 2022, it had plunged 77%, hitting a low of $15,600. This time, with the four-year halving cycle, by around November 2026, Bitcoin will likely hit its lowest point, dropping by 50%-77%. That puts the price in the $40,000-$60,000 range. If it drops 65%, the price would be around $45,000, with the lowest point near $40,000. Based on signals from previous bull and bear market bottoms, around November 2026, everyone can consider buying the dip for long-term positions. April 20, 2024, is the next halving. The following halving will be in 2028, and 2028-2029 will be a super bull market. Patience is key!
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