金色财经
金色财经|Jun 04, 2026 14:19
[TD Securities: If U.S. Unemployment Rate Rises Unexpectedly, the Dollar May Weaken] According to a report by Golden Finance on June 4, TD Securities strategists stated in a report that if Friday's U.S. non-farm payroll report shows an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate, the dollar may weaken. They noted that the unemployment rate for May could rise to 4.4% from April's 4.3%, while analysts' average expectation is for it to remain stable. They indicated this could lead the DXY Dollar Index to briefly dip below 99.00 from its current level of 99.236. After that, market attention will shift to U.S.-Iran news and the May inflation report set to be released on June 10. They also mentioned that a rise in the unemployment rate could open the door for the new Federal Reserve Chair, Kevin Warsh, to provide dovish guidance supporting accommodative policies at the June 17 meeting, a risk that has not been fully priced in.
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