小龙先生
小龙先生|6月 04, 2026 02:09
Prediction of Bitcoin's rebound after falling to the 60000 mark and strategy for short positions Bitcoin has fallen below 62000 and is moving towards the 60000-61000 range. The 60000 mark is the most important support level for 2026. 1. The current market. BTC's current price around 61500 has fallen below the 65000 support zone. The ETF has had a net outflow for 13 consecutive days, accumulating approximately $4 billion. Over 1.7 billion US dollars were liquidated in 24 hours, and long positions were heavily liquidated. Fear index 11 (extreme fear). 2. There is a high probability of a rebound at the 60000 mark. 60000 is the convergence area for low, integer, and head to shoulder measurement targets before February. The price first touches the region, and the strong gravitational effect in natural trading theory will trigger a technical rebound. After a continuous decline of over 10%, there is a strong demand for oversold repair. The probability of rebound is about 70-80%. 3. Prediction of rebound height. First objective: 64000-64500, probability 60-65% Second objective: 65000-65500, probability 25-30% 66000-67000 can hardly be reached. 65000-66000 is the front support resistance zone, and it is difficult to break through the current rebound strength. Rebound nature: Technical oversold repair+short covering, not a trend reversal. The intensity is much lower than that in February, expected to be only 3-5%. Overall, the current decline rate is relatively fast, and bears are absolutely strong. The space for subsequent rebound is limited, with a maximum rebound of 64000. In a weak situation, a rebound around 63500 will stop the market. 4. Short selling strategy with increased positions. Currently at 61500, we are observing and not chasing after the sky. The first batch of positions added: 64000-64500 area, with a position of 10%, triggered by a 4-hour short signal indicating a rebound to this area. The second batch of positions: 65000-65500 area, with a position of 10%, triggered by a 4-hour short signal indicating a rebound to this area. Unified stop loss: 69500. The target price for subsequent decline is 60000 → 58000 → 55000 → 45000-50000. 5. The final reminder. 60000 will have a rebound, but it's just a 'dead cat rebound'. Don't doubt the direction of the trend just because of the rebound. The area around 64000 is for adding empty orders to the warehouse, not for chasing too many reasons. 60000 is the first stop, 55000 is the second stop, and 45000 is the final stop. BTC, Bitcoin, 3D Integrated Trading Analysis: The 5th Wave Starts with a 60000 Dollar Rebound, Increase Position, Short Sell
+4
Mentioned
Share To

Timeline

HotFlash

APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink

Hot Reads