律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|6月 03, 2026 14:18
Federal Reserve's Williams expresses support for keeping interest rates unchanged, with expectations of rate hikes continuing to rise within the year According to BlockBeats, on June 3rd, the Federal Reserve's Williams voiced support for keeping interest rates unchanged: monetary policy is "perfectly" in the right position and there is no need to raise or lower interest rates. We will wait and see the progress of the latest tariff measures, as the upward risk of inflation has increased. There is no clear direction for future interest rates, and we do not believe that the Federal Reserve's forward guidance is particularly helpful. According to data observed by the CME Federal Reserve, the expectation of interest rate cuts within the year has been largely erased, and the expectation of interest rate hikes has risen, with the possibility of a 75 basis point hike even appearing. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged throughout the year until the end of 2026 is 40.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut for the year is only 0.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 41.6%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 14.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate hike is 0.1%. In addition, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting (June) is 1.7%. [Original link]
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