The slaughter of US funds: a phase reversal of this sharp decline Going back to a month ago, in the first week of May, BTC rose strongly to 83K, Most social media outlets shouted 'Niu Hui' and the market sentiment was high. Short sellers are scarred, full traders are ecstatic, and short traders are extremely anxious. One month later today, BTC fell nearly 16000 points, Those KOLs who shouted 'Niu Hui' in early May are now silent. // I don't want to boast because I haven't fully grasped this market trend either, But please cherish the bloggers who go against market sentiment and warn of risks. I won't talk about anything else today. Most of my opinions are written in my regular posts, The main core idea is still: 'Wait for Liq's cleaning below to complete the last tremble', This has been emphasized almost every day in my daily analysis posts over the past two months. Whether it's going empty or getting hurt, the K-line trend is already a fact, The important thing is that we must take something away from it, otherwise we will only fall into a vicious cycle of losing money. Therefore, in today's post, I plan to do a simple review for everyone, Let's talk about the predictability of this decline so that we can design trading strategies more confidently in the future. // March 16th: First proposed trend plan for "Script 2" (Post link) ： https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2033359397079101623） On a technical level, there is a need to fill the imbalance zone caused by the decline around 81K, In addition, there are a large number of trapped chips in this area, and at the same time, it is close to the average cost of short-term holders, Therefore, on March 16th, I proposed "Script 2" to evaluate the expected rebound. April 6th: The downward trend shows signs of stopping, and the rebound begins (Post link) ： https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2040974086218887361） This is the starting point of the failure of 'Script 1', where the trend reversal of smaller levels begins to manifest as level expansion, The price began to soar, exceeding my expectations at the time. April 15th: Structural analysis of large-scale bear market volatility, emphasizing the final tremor (Post link) ： https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2044230985865408890） Starting from the volatile structure of BTC since February, from the perspective of liquidity, I would like to emphasize once again the high probability and necessity of the 'last tremor'. On May 5th, the bulls and bears officially engaged in a firefight at the Bull Bear Watershed in "Script 2" (Post link) ： https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2051479165527097444） The price officially entered the range of "Script 2" and collided with STH-RP, The volatility of BTC has significantly increased, and there has been intense fighting between long and short positions, ultimately forming a temporary peak. May 11th: US funds withdraw first, Asian capital takes over, risks suddenly rise (Post link) ： https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2053653283429089554） The US capital retreated before the price, and Asian capital began to buy, which is a typical top signal, A similar situation occurred before the sharp decline in November 2025 and is now being tested again. May 28th: BTC bear market progress assessment, indicators indicate bottom has not yet arrived (Post link) ： https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/2059814266711245003） The proportion of 1y-3y chip holders also supports the arrival of the 'last tremor'. // In short: The planning of "Script 2": from imbalanced areas STH-RP、 Designed for the condition of chip entrapment The starting point of the decline: After the price battle within the predetermined range of "Script 2", the US capital withdrew The main reason supporting the last tremor: Liq distribution of large-scale oscillatory structures I believe that Berg's old friends may be tired of it: emphasizing the last shiver every day. But this is a fact, it is the risk (opportunity) that I have seen based on my own trading system, I still remember at the beginning of May, some of my group members were even worried about whether they had returned home and left empty handed, Just like my friend who opened a large BTC short position with me from July to October last year, I have also felt anxious due to the price fluctuating around a new high. July October 2025: Publicly short BTC https://(((((((x.com)))))))/market_beggar/status/1991320675865489815 Now, a smooth decline has come, but if it's Mr. Berg's old audience, I believe the recent decline will not come as a surprise, Because this is the 'last tremble' that we have been longing for and longing for. Enjoy the ride.