Greeks.live
Greeks.live|6月 01, 2026 15:54
Today, the Deribit BTC index hit a low of $70,992, with the price now hovering near the $70,000 psychological threshold. This level is not only a psychological benchmark but also an area of heavy option open interest. Looking at the options data: Near-term ATM IV is around 30%, and volatility has not spiked in a panic-driven manner, indicating that the market is not currently pricing in a one-sided collapse but rather appears to be waiting for a directional breakout. Prior to last month’s expiration, $72,000 was a Gex cluster; after expiration, the $70,000 strike price became the Gex cluster, with positions clearly concentrated there. This implies that the $70,000 level serves as both a support level to watch and a concentrated defense line for short positions and protective puts. Put IV is noticeably higher on the downside, and the skew is trending downward overall. The market is paying a higher premium for downside tail risk, indicating that capital has not relaxed its defensive stance. The call wall on the upside is concentrated at 80k, 80k, 90k, and 100k; long-term call positions remain substantial, suggesting that the medium-to-long-term bullish structure persists, but the 70k level must be defended in the short term. Summary: If $70,000 holds effectively, we may see a short-term decline in IV and a spot price recovery; if it breaks down with heavy volume, demand for protective puts could push up near-term IV, and prices may continue to test the $68,000 / $65,000 region. $70,000 is the watershed moment for this round of the BTC options market: if bulls hold it, we’ll see a corrective consolidation; if they fail to hold it, volatility will be repriced.
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