The probability of Polymarket's' Strait of Hormuz returning to normal before June 30th 'drops to 25%, with a weekly decline of 25% Odaily Seer's Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's "Strait of Hormuz returning to normal before June 30th" has dropped to 25%, with a weekly decline of 25%. As of now, the total transaction amount of this event has approached 12 million US dollars. The contract rules for this event are: if the International Monetary Fund Port Watch reports on any date between market creation and June 30, 2026 that the 7-day average number of vessel arrivals in the Strait of Hormuz is equal to or greater than 60, the market will be judged as' yes'; otherwise, the market will be judged as' no '. The daily number of arrivals of transit ships includes container ships, bulk carriers, roll on/roll off ships, general cargo ships, and oil tankers. Ships that have not been reported by the International Monetary Fund's port observation will not be considered. Previously, US troops from both countries clashed again near the Strait of Hormuz, but Trump said earlier today that negotiations with Iran on a temporary peace agreement would "yield good results". If Washington unfreezes billions of dollars in Iranian funds at Tehran's request, he will face possible criticism and needs to strike a balance between the two. Trump once stated last Friday that he would make a "final decision," but as the two sides continued negotiations on details such as Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile and how to reopen the Hormuz waterway (which may require mine clearance first), he postponed the decision. Odaily Seer's Prophet channel continues to monitor and predict the market, seeing changes before pricing.