ParBTC Market Monthly Report -6.1 Figure 1: Monthly chart 1) Time is really fast, 2026 is already halfway through. From the monthly chart, it continued to fall sharply to 6W in January and February this year, and then rose sharply in March and April. After reaching a high of around 80000 yuan in the first week of May, it began to decline and currently closes at 736 yuan. 2) From a trend perspective, BTC is definitely on a downward trend at present. Personally, I look forward to plundering 49 SSL. In the medium term, this actually oscillates around the February K-line 795-60, and currently around 69 is the key position. If it falls below 68-69, then it is important to continue testing 60. If it falls below 60, then it will be around 50. 3) Currently, the annual VWAP is at 74, and I believe that those below 74 have a higher probability of going down. In addition, June is also the closing quarter line. Currently, the opening of the quarter is at 683, so if the closing line falls below 683, it means that the quarter will continue to decline. 4) This month's key events focus on: one ⃣ 6/5 May Non farm Employment Report (Expected+96K, Unemployment Rate 4.3%) two ⃣ 6/7 OPEC+7 Countries Meeting: Discuss Production Increase Adjustment, Directly Affects Oil Prices → Inflation Expectations three ⃣ 6/8 Apple WWDC 2026 opening: AI feature updates may catalyze AAPL and related supply chains four ⃣ 6/10 US May CPI: The last inflation data before FOMC, if it exceeds expectations, it will strengthen the narrative of interest rate hikes five ⃣ 6/11 World Cup opening: Historical patterns show a decrease in market trading volume and a narrowing of volatility during the tournament period six ⃣ 6/17 FOMC interest rate decision+dot matrix+Warsh press conference: Warsh will host for the first time, and the dot matrix will define the path of interest rates in the second half of the year. 65% probability of no interest rate cut throughout the year based on market pricing seven ⃣ June 19th holiday: Closed two days after FOMC, liquidity needs to be planned in advance eight ⃣ 6/25 May PCE: Fed's most concerned inflation indicator, post meeting validation data Figure 2: Weekly Chart 1) The weekly chart has been falling for three consecutive weeks, and I also said it's three weeks short. I think we should continue to be bearish for now. 2) Continuing the medium-term range mentioned by the monthly chart, which is currently the 795-60 range, let's first look at EQ 695, which is currently bearish. 3) This week's relationship encryption is Friday, June 5th, May non farm payroll (expected+96K, unemployment rate 4.3%, hourly wage+0.3%), which is the first employment report in the Warsh era and will affect FOMC expectations for June 16-17. Figure 3: Daily chart 1) In terms of trend, the daily chart has shown a downward trend and has been fluctuating for the past 5 days. If it falls below 725, then continue looking down at 710, and then it will be 68. 2) But because it is currently oscillating, be aware that if it breaks through 746 and stabilizes, it will test the bearish trend. Alternatively, you can place an order at 770 and stop loss at 783 to see if you can receive the needle. Figure 4: Hour chart 1) This is the oscillation range, 725-745, which has been fluctuating for 5 days. Currently, I believe it is a decline. First, let's take a look at the 725 test. If it falls below, let's reject it. Then let's continue with the 710 test. 2) At present, the empty single defense position is 726, and breaking through here is necessary to pay attention to short-term bullish trends. Otherwise, even if it is bearish.