小龙先生|May 30, 2026 03:22
BTC's mid line short position layout is right, rebound is an opportunity to add positions!! 】
BTC's current price is around 73600, and it has been consolidating at a low level for three consecutive days. The fifth wave of weekly decline is being realized, the bearish trend is clear, and the direction should not be reversed.
1. List of core data.
BTC current price: around 73800
Key support: 72000-72500 (Fibonacci 0 axis)
Strong resistance: 75000-75600 (0.236 Fibonacci)
ETF net outflow for 10 consecutive days, accumulating over $3.5 billion
Fear and Greed Index: 22 (Extreme Fear)
Probability of Bank of Japan raising interest rates in June: 75%
Macro bearish rating: 7 points (structural core suppression)
2. Market status: Bears are absolutely strong.
The 4-hour chart shows that the high point of each rebound is decreasing. Rebound without volume, decline with volume. This is not bottoming out, it is a downward relay.
72000 is the Fibonacci 0 axis and also the current last line of defense. If held, it will oscillate; if lost, it will accelerate towards 7000-68000.
3. Mid line empty space layout strategy.
The mid line short position is a trend market, not a short-term band. The target for the fifth wave of decline is 45000 to 50000.
Batch layout plan:
First tier (bottom position): 73500-74500, 10-15% of positions
Second tier (rebound increase): 75000-75600, position 10-15%
Third tier (chasing short on the right side): After confirming below 72000, the position is 5-10%
The total position should not exceed 25-30%, with leverage of 2-5 times.
Stop loss: 77000, moving stop loss can be moved up to 75300.
4. Key observation position.
Hold 72500 → may rebound to 74000-74500
Falling below 72000 → Confirmed to move towards 71500-69900
5. The final reminder.
Do not go long in a bearish trend. 7500-75600 is the empty order plus warehouse area, not a reason for chasing long positions.
Don't go in the wrong direction. Let profits run.
Non investment advice, for reference only, profit or loss is at your own risk.
BTC, Bitcoin 3D Integrated Trading Analysis, 5th Wave opens mid line short positions
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