The probability of WTI crude oil falling to $85 in May 2026 in Polymarket has risen to 62%, with a 32% increase in 24 hours Odaily Seer's Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's WTI crude oil falling to $85 in May 2026 has risen to 62%, with a 32% increase in 24 hours. According to the "Balance" news agency affiliated with the Iranian Ministry of Justice on the 27th, a "preliminary informal document" on the framework of the memorandum of understanding between Iran and the United States has been disclosed, covering issues such as the Strait of Hormuz, regional military deployment, and future agreement arrangements. According to the document, the United States has promised to lift the "maritime blockade" against Iran and withdraw some military forces deployed in the surrounding areas of Iran. In exchange, Iran will gradually restore commercial vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz to pre escalation levels within a month, excluding military vessels. The management of vessel passage and route arrangement will be jointly coordinated by Iran and Oman. The document shows that if Iran and the United States can reach a final agreement within 60 days, the relevant content may be confirmed in the form of a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. The report states that Iran has emphasized that it will not take any practical action until a "tangible and verifiable" verification is completed. Odaily Seer's Prophet channel continues to monitor and predict the market, seeing changes before pricing.