This is the fourth wave of WTI trades I've done. The first three went pretty well, mainly because of a solid understanding of the U.S. and Iran. This trade is also a textbook macro trade, using macro trend expectations to predict WTI's movement. The biggest advantage of this type of trade is the high tolerance for error—just get the direction and market price expectations right, and the win rate is pretty high. The only thing to watch out for is funding rates if you're trading on an exchange, or capital allocation issues if you're using a brokerage. Each has its pros and cons. Exchanges offer leverage and contracts, while brokerages have lower costs. Exchanges are better for short-term breakout trades. For example, once the U.S. and Iran's trends are clear, you can go short or long as needed, and the trade usually wraps up in two or three days. But for long-term positions, brokerages are more suitable. That said, since Binance adjusted its funding rates, the CLUSDT funding rate has been pretty low over the past week. So mid- to long-term holding is also acceptable now.