This time, I really think it's about the same. Iran has begun to say that the normal passage of the Strait of Hormuz will be restored 30 days after the agreement is reached, and the 30 days are used to clear mines. Trump also publicly said that the current negotiations with Iran are going smoothly. I said before that, you can't just read the statements of one family, and it needs two companies to publish at the same time to be effective. This time, it should be about the same. Today, the price of WTI has dropped directly by 7.5% and has now fallen below $90, as expected. The next step is still to look at the first phase at $85. At $85, it should be a clear ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran, and further down, it may require full access to the Strait of Hormuz. My personal opinion is that if the agreement is fully signed, there is a high possibility of a strong short selling trend, similar to last Saturday. At this time, the funding rate may be very high, but it should not last too long. For rate sensitive partners, they can go to securities firms to short. If the funding rate is not high or they can continue to bear it, it is possible to continue short CLUSDT, after all, some leverage can be added. My liquidation price is still above $120, with more margin just to prevent some black swan events. After the US and Iran issues are over, inflation expectations will fall back, giving Walsh more room to play. Trump can't afford to wait. Returning to the data of Bitcoin, as I have always said, the price of BTC depends on the current macro, political, and economic situation in the United States. The market expects the war between the United States and Iran to end completely, and expects inflation in the United States to decrease. Therefore, although the US stock market did not open today, it is evident that CME's stock index futures are rising, driving Bitcoin's upward trend. The most important thing is that from various data, investors have long-term expectations for BTC and have reduced short-term turnover. Therefore, as long as there is no significant negative impact on the United States and no obvious negative impact on BTC, the stability of the price is still guaranteed. Bitget is here, VIP! Crypto、 US shares CFD， Global Advantage One Stop Layout