Is BTC expected to hit 80000 this week? Iran promises not to seek nuclear weapons

1、 Macro sentiment: geopolitical risks cooling down, reserve legislation resonating On the 24th local time, the Iranian President stated that he is prepared to assure the world that he will not seek nuclear weapons or create regional instability. This statement significantly alleviates geopolitical risks. At the same time, the United States is accelerating the implementation of the ARMA Act, a national level Bitcoin reserve legislation, with plans to stockpile 5% of the world's circulating supply. The resonance of dual benefits has significantly boosted market confidence in the industry. 2、 Technical market: Short term gains in 4H, overall daily pressure remains The 4-hour price trend turned upward, and after hitting a long lower shadow line yesterday, buying volume quickly rebounded. However, the current continuous increase is insufficient, with the daily MACD dead cross extending downwards, the moving average maintaining a bearish position, and being suppressed by the daily EMA30 (around 77663) above. The market is essentially a "weak repair" pattern under bullish control, with a decrease in chasing after gains and overall wait-and-see sentiment still dominating. 3、 Core point: Focus on the 78000 watershed Analyst Adam pointed out that the $77000 to $78000 range is the core long short watershed. Short term focus on whether it can accumulate momentum to break through resistance: Lower support (if stepped back): 76000 USDT: The front low support and integer psychological barrier are the first core defensive support bands in the short term. 75000 USDT: Strong integer level and high volume support level. Long positions below 74500 USDT require strict stop loss. Upper pressure (if rebounding): 78000 USDT: The daily EMA30 runs around 77663, which is an important resistance area in the near future. 79000-80000 USDT: If successfully recovering 78000, the market will hit the 80000 core level; Standing above 79500 USDT means a trend reversal. Risk Warning: The content of this article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. The market is risky, and investment needs to be cautious.