金色财经|May 24, 2026 22:44
[Economist: Even if the U.S. and Iran reach an agreement, oil prices are unlikely to return to pre-conflict levels this year]
According to a report by Jinse Finance, on May 25, Shane Oliver, Chief Economist at Australian wealth management firm AMP, stated that even if the United States and Iran reach an agreement, global benchmark oil prices are unlikely to return to pre-conflict levels this year. He noted that it will take some time for ships to resume passing through the Strait of Hormuz, and the market may factor in a higher risk premium to account for potential future supply disruptions. Before the conflict, WTI crude oil was trading at approximately $67 per barrel. Oliver estimated that, considering the additional risk premium, WTI crude oil could end the year at around $80 per barrel, while Brent crude oil might reach about $85 per barrel by then. 'If the nuclear issue is not resolved, oil prices could go even higher,' he added. (Jin10)
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