Where should US investment go? ": Discussing the two strong supports below from the perspective of market costs Continuing the quote below, the embezzlement of US funds has once again caused a decline in BTC, And the decline itself is already a fact, so recently many friends have started asking: Where can we buy at the bottom when it falls ❓」 Based on this, today I will once again present the 'STH-RP model with deviation adjustment', Share with everyone the potential strong support below ： // The indicator in the attached figure is' STH-RP with deviation adjustment ', and the concept is reviewed as follows: ➡️ Calculate the mean and standard deviation of STH-MVRV since 2018 ➡️ Multiply STH-RP by the mean ± n standard deviations of STH-MVRV ➡️ The reason for using data after 2018 as the calculation benchmark is that, The reason is that STH-MVRV after 2018 exhibits significant mean regression characteristics. Red line=STH-RP multiplied by the mean of STH-MVRV plus 1 standard deviation Yellow line=STH-RP Green line=STH-RP multiplied by "Mean of STH-MVRV -1 standard deviation" Blue line=STH-RP multiplied by 'Mean of STH-MVRV -1.5 standard deviations' Detailed concept explanation of the model: https://(((((x.com)))/market_gegar/status/1902195178993279264 Detailed review of the bottoming time supported by the blue line: https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2026474493749989766 Analysis of all historical cases supported by the blue line: https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2018501752103047340 // As shown in the attached figure: After the price recently reached STH-RP (Short Term Holder Average Cost), The volatility began to intensify significantly, and the upward trend and downward trend lasted for about two weeks, It is sufficient to prove that the power of this' bull bear lifeline 'still exists. Blue Line Shows Power Again ": Strong rebound of 38%, hard to grab STH-RP? https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2052205146827116790 According to today's latest data ： STH-RP = 78,309 Green line support=64751 Blue line support=57015 From the perspective of spot buying (cyclical trading), if you think: one ️⃣ The price will not fall below 60K: then the green line is a location worth entering two ️⃣ The price is bound to fall below 60K (the last tremble): then the blue line is a position worth entering Of course, if you ask for my opinion, I have already stated my position in posts over the past two months: I cannot guarantee that the last tremor below 60K will come, But I firmly believe that the price needs to drop below 60K to achieve a healthy final bottom The Last Trembling Bottom Picking Series (14): Latest Data from the "Four Big Deep Bear Bottom Picking Models" https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2055103263448682610 Finally, as the old saying goes: The essence of trading is planning, not prediction; Everyone needs to adjust their risk tolerance accordingly, Design rigorous and effective response strategies in advance for different possible scenarios. Trading is not black and white, we don't need to speculate whether it will fall below 60K, But it requires thinking: 'If it falls below, then...' and 'If it doesn't fall below, then...', In this way, when the price enters one of these scenarios in the future, we only need to strictly enforce it, And there is no need to panic or act recklessly due to emotional fluctuations. The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone // Related reading resources 'Unideal roof building': detailing the latest trading ideas based on Liq analysis method https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2056190764347265261 Five major buyer groups heat map update: closely monitor when new buyers turn off the engine https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2054739624992649429 Teaching the vernacular concept of "market trading expectations" that even grandmothers can understand https://((((((((x.com))))))))/market_beggar/status/2054377450893885740