Has the suppression of the MA200 daily moving average ended this rebound?? I haven't been watching the market much in the past week, so I have been frantically strengthening my fitness and exercise to prepare for the upcoming stock market. This morning, I have been fixing the problem with the network server, which was just resolved. Since then, there have been no major market trends or unexpected events, so I have gradually changed to weekly updates I took a look at BTC today on Monday and with the positive news from the China US summit, recent CPI and PPI exceeding expectations, and the risk of US bond yields in the past two days, the big pie was directly dried up to 76690. The weekly line finally interrupted its six consecutive gains and closed in a bearish trend, with a monthly low of 76320 close to changing color The panic index has finally reached the fear zone, and the sixth bull bear watershed suppression in the history of MA200 has once again been confirmed to be effective. The moment of mutual destruction has reached a turning point From the perspective of weekly space, the probability of this rebound (65k-82k) ending has reached 35%, as of the 17th (no update today) STH (short-term holder): 78300 TMP (Real Average Price Across the Internet): 78276 Due to the website not being updated, there were 76k big cakes today, and tomorrow STH will definitely have crossed TMP downwards, which means that short-term holders across the entire network will once again enter the trap time This wave of six consecutive weeks of buying has made many brothers with weaker determination unable to resist the temptation to buy some positions around 80000. In fact, for the long term (holding for 2 years or more), you can buy at any time as your friends say, but this premise is that you need to be able to bear a minimum loss of 30% -50%. If you can't afford it, you can only wait until the certainty is at its maximum to repurchase, and then the profit and loss ratio can be maximized When is the time of maximum certainty? This is the process that requires a comprehensive judgment, and it is also a complete reflection of a trader's understanding of the big cake As I mentioned in my post on 5.11: Continue to believe until the cycle is confirmed to be broken, and other viewpoints that have not undergone real fund bull bear conversion verification are actually noise. After preparing for the worst, watching too much noise will only affect one's judgment and distort operations. The best strategy is to stay away from noise, return to daily life, signal triggering, and then return to the battlefield Finally, the same sentence remains: believe in the big cake, believe in the cycle, 76800 ✊✊✊