BTC Four-Year Cycle Series Update
CryptoChan|5月 18, 2026 03:26
The current indicator on the chart has risen to 0.916. Historical patterns show that the time it takes to climb from 0.916 to 1 is remarkably consistent:
2014: Took 66 days
2018: Took 80 days
2022: Took 80 days
┌── | On-Chain Data Details ──┐
Green Line (Long-Term Strong Support): $59,021 (Average purchase cost of investors holding $BTC for 6 months to 10 years on-chain)
⚫ Black Line (Market-Wide Average): $64,461 (Average purchase cost of all investors holding $BTC for 0 to 10 years on-chain)
How to interpret this signal?
The green line represents a super-strong support level for the market. When the black line (total market cost) gets dangerously close to this line, it indicates that even the most committed "long-term holders" are starting to face unrealized losses.
Historical data suggests: At this point, the selling pressure across the network has already been exhausted, market sentiment is at peak fear, but this is often the hallmark of the end of a bear market and a historic bottom.
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