段王爷|May 15, 2026 01:46
I recently saw the argument between ETH ASTEROID and SOL/BAGS ASTEROID, and I would like to share my opinion from the perspective of the banker. This is the perspective I have formed after being hurt countless times by Zhuang, for everyone to laugh at:
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If viewed from the perspective of the banker, the dispute between ETH ASTEROID and SOL/BAGS ASTEROID is essentially not about who is right or wrong, nor is it about which community is more just.
What it really competes for is:
Who is the main representative asset of this world-class emotional narrative.
Before discussing these two projects, it is necessary to first state a fact:
This level of attention narrative is extremely scarce in the meme market.
It is not an ordinary hot topic, not an insider meme, nor is it simply an emotional plate.
It combines elements of Elon, SpaceX, Little Girl, Cancer, Dreams, Space, Family, Charity, and Human Emotional Resonance.
This kind of narrative is very rare.
Most memes only focus on the crypto community, and this narrative has the potential to go viral.
As long as a meme can trigger emotional reactions in ordinary people, it is no longer just a cryptocurrency chip, but an attention asset that can carry large funds, big stories, and big fluctuations.
So, as long as this level of narrative emerges, there will inevitably be market makers competing for the right to speak.
If the market does not form a unique target, multiple projects will definitely fight.
Because whoever becomes the main representative asset holds the primary pricing power of this narrative.
Even if a relative main asset has emerged in the market, as long as newcomers can find new entry angles, such as family recognition, charitable structures, platform mechanisms, on chain liquidity, and KOL endorsement, there will still be new operators trying to seize the explanatory power.
The reason is simple:
This yield is too high.
Ordinary memes can only speculate on short-term emotions, but this level of narrative can carry large amounts of capital, constantly tell stories, attract attention from outside the industry, and make the market willing to give higher valuations.
So from the perspective of the banker, controversy is not accidental, but inevitable.
The conflict between ETH ASTEROID and SOL/BAGS ASTEROID may appear to be community tearing, but in reality, it is two trading groups vying for the "main representation" of the same world-class emotional narrative.
The core chips of ETH version are:
First mover advantage, historical consensus, liquidity, holder base, market default cognition.
It has already reached the 100M+level, and when the market mentions ASTEROID, the first reaction is likely to be the ETH version.
This is the biggest asset of the ETH version.
It is not just a high market value, but has already occupied the market mind.
For ETH traders, the most important thing is not to prove themselves more emotional, but to maintain their position as the 'legitimate main asset'.
So the ETH version naturally defines the BAGS version as a later copy disk, diversion disk, and ride on popularity disk.
Because as long as the market starts to compare seriously, ETH's monopoly pricing power will be weakened.
The core chips of the SOL/BAGS version are completely different.
It is impossible for it to compete with the ETH version for "who is earlier", and it is also difficult to compete for liquidity and holder size from the beginning.
So it must create a new dimension:
Family recognition, genuine feelings, charitable structure, emotional upgrading.
This is not an ordinary fork trading strategy, but an attempt to tell the market:
The ETH version represents the past market consensus;
The BAGS version represents the current emotional legitimacy.
That's why once the BAGS version reaches 10% or more of ETH's market value, controversy is bound to erupt.
10% is a psychological boundary.
Below this position, ETH can ignore it.
Above this position, the market will begin to ask:
Why is this version worth so much?
Is it taking on new narrative increments?
Is it possible for it to become another main asset?
From a trading perspective, arguing itself is not a bad thing.
There is no dispute, indicating a lack of attention.
There is controversy, indicating that both disks have entered the same attention pool.
What's really scary is not arguing, but having no one to discuss.
But there is a key issue here:
The core of this narrative is not PVP in the cryptocurrency industry.
Its core is Liv's story, SpaceX, a little girl's dream, cancer, motherhood, charity, and human emotions.
So which project can win doesn't depend on who curses harder, but on who can bring market attention back to the story itself.
If the controversy ultimately turns into pure community tearing, this narrative will be tainted.
If the controversy ultimately reinforces the question of 'who truly represents the assets of Liv and ASTEROID's story', then the controversy will instead become fuel for narrative escalation.
There is another more important variable:
Time window.
ASTEROID is not an isolated meme, it is highly tied to SpaceX's narrative.
And now the market is anticipating SpaceX's IPO.
This means that in the future, SpaceX、Elon、 Space IPO、 Keywords such as dreams and capital markets will continue to receive attention.
For the banker, this is the best battlefield.
Because the greatest value capture of memes does not occur after the event has ended, but before the expected warming of the event.
The truly powerful operators will definitely compete for narrative power before SpaceX's IPO.
Whoever can identify themselves as the "ASTEROID main representative asset" during this window period has the opportunity to reap greater attention dividends in the future.
But this matter extremely tests the strength of the banker.
Competing for narrative is not just about posting, shouting orders, and telling stories.
It is essentially a liquidity war.
To make the market believe that you are the main asset, you must pay a cost.
Market value management incurs costs.
Maintaining consensus through disk pulling incurs costs.
Going to the exchange incurs costs.
Please increase the cost for KOL diffusion.
Doing media communication incurs costs.
Maintaining community confidence comes at a cost.
Adversarial narratives also come at a cost.
So to determine who will win between the ETH version and the SOL/BAGS version, we cannot just look at whose story is more touching, nor can we just look at who is more "orthodox".
It depends on who has the ability to continuously purchase the pricing power of this narrative.
The ETH version now wins on both liquidity and the main asset mentality.
The BAGS version now wins in new emotional legitimacy and charitable structures.
But what really determines the outcome next is who can turn attention into liquidity, emotions into prices, and then strengthen consensus by reversing the price during the SpaceX IPO window.
This is not a dispute between individual investors.
This is a cost war, mental war, and liquidity war between trading partners.
From the perspective of the ETH version banker, what it needs to do is very clear:
Defend the throne.
It needs to constantly strengthen itself as the main asset, the version that the market has already chosen, the version with the best liquidity, and the version that can carry the most large funds.
Its biggest fear is not the BAGS version rising, but the market starting to accept a new judgment:
Family recognition and charitable structures are more important than the original consensus on liquidity.
Once the market believes in this logic, the main asset position of the ETH version will be challenged.
So the ETH version must suppress the narrative legitimacy of the BAGS version.
It wants to make the market feel that BAGS is just a later diversion disk, not a narrative upgrade disk.
From the perspective of the BAGS version banker, what it needs to do is also very clear:
Grab the power of interpretation.
It doesn't need to exceed ETH from the beginning.
It just needs to make the market believe:
I am not a duplicate disk, I am a new variable in this story.
As long as BAGS can steadily stand at 10% or more of ETH's market value, it will no longer be an air fork.
If it can stand at 20% -30%, the market will start pricing it seriously.
If there is continued recognition from family members, transparency in fees, implementation of charity, participation from top KOLs, and an increase in the popularity of SpaceX's IPO in the future, it has the opportunity to upgrade from an "emotional incremental asset" to a "main representative asset challenger".
That's why the BAGS version must create differences.
It cannot just say that it is also ASTEROID.
It must say:
I am closer to my family.
I am closer to charity.
I am closer to real emotions.
I am not a copy of the old narrative, but an upgrade of the new narrative.
This is the only angle it can cut in.
From the perspective of the banker, price is not the result, price itself is the weapon.
If BAGS remains at 3M or 5M, no one will seriously discuss it.
But when it reached nearly 19M, things changed.
Because the price tells the market:
Someone is willing to pay for this new interpretation right.
Similarly, the ETH version maintaining 100M+is also telling the market:
I am the main asset, I am the maximum liquidity, and I am the default answer in the market.
So in this war, price is not a bystander indicator.
Price is a part of narrative warfare.
Whoever can maintain a higher market value is more likely to attract KOLs;
Whoever can attract more KOLs is more likely to obtain liquidity;
Whoever can obtain more liquidity is more likely to continue to increase market value;
The higher the market value, the more the market believes it is the main asset.
This is the spiral of meme.
Narrative brings price.
Price reinforced narrative.
Narrative attracts liquidity again.
Liquidity drives up prices again.
The real big meme is not about having a definite answer before funds enter the market.
But in the process of rising, the market constantly searches for reasons and eventually turns them into consensus.
So the dispute between ETH and BAGS, in the short term, is a tearing apart, but in the long term, it is a redistribution of the pricing power of the main assets.
If the ETH version wants to continue winning, it must prove:
The old consensus is not outdated.
The main asset mentality has not been shaken.
It remains the most capable asset in this narrative to carry large amounts of capital.
If BAGS version wants to challenge ETH, it must prove:
Family recognition is not a one-time marketing.
Charity fees are not short-term gimmicks.
The community and project team can truly sustain construction.
It can transform emotional legitimacy into long-term liquidity.
I think the future outcome will not depend on whose community voice is louder, but on a few key indicators:
Firstly, can BAGS break through 19M again and stand firm.
Secondly, can BAGS consistently reach over 20% of ETH's market value.
Thirdly, whether the family/charity fee remains transparent and can establish long-term trust.
Fourthly, can the ETH version continue to maintain media coverage 关键意见领袖 Liquidity and primary asset mentality.
Fifth, when SpaceX's IPO expectations heat up, the market's first thought is whether to buy ETH, BAGS, or both.
Sixth, who is more willing to pay the cost and buy this narrative as their own asset.
My judgment is:
The ETH version remains the primary representative asset of ASTEROID in the short term.
Because it already has stronger liquidity, larger holder size, higher market awareness, and more mature main asset mentality.
The BAGS version is currently a highly elastic emotional incremental asset.
Its advantage is not history, but a new narrative perspective.
Its real opportunity lies in making 'family recognition+fee charity' a sustainable, transparent, and trustworthy long-term structure.
If it can't do it, then it's just an emotional diversion.
If it does, it will not be a duplicate disk, but a narrative upgrade disk.
There is only one situation for true reversal:
BAGS continues to strengthen the "family recognition" and "charity structure", while the ETH version only has prices and old consensus.
If this happens, the market will reprice who is the main carrier of ASTEROID's narrative.
But if the ETH version continues to maintain its liquidity advantage and can continue to tell the story of Liv and SpaceX well, then BAGS is likely to only become a highly elastic supplementary asset next to ETH's main asset, rather than completely replacing ETH.
So the ultimate answer to this war is not about who wins now.
But it's about who can make themselves the default answer in the market with stronger funding, stronger operations, and stronger dissemination during the external time window of SpaceX IPO.
The end of meme is not about who is more noisy.
But who can make the market believe:
I am the carrier of this story that is most worth buying.
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