小龙先生|5月 12, 2026 22:52
Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, I misread the U.S. CPI data. I saw the month-on-month CPI at 0.6% meeting expectations and part of the forecast at 3.7%, so I concluded that the CPI was 'in line with expectations.'
In reality, the U.S. CPI year-on-year came in at 3.8%, higher than the expected 3.7%, which falls under 'above expectations and hawkish.' Core CPI year-on-year was 2.8%, and month-on-month was 0.4%, both exceeding expectations.
Xinhua News Agency's analysis clearly pointed out: Inflation pressure is spreading from volatile items like energy to core items, with core CPI hitting a six-month high. The probability of the Fed cutting rates this year is decreasing, and discussions about rate hikes may heat up.
At the same time, Brent crude has surpassed $107/barrel (+3%), and the U.S.-Iran ceasefire is 'on shaky ground.' The transmission chain of high oil prices → high inflation remains unbroken.
Therefore, based on this updated core judgment, I’ve made some changes to my original article *'U.S. CPI Data Meets Expectations: What’s Next for Bitcoin’s Price Trend?'* The title has also been updated to *'U.S. CPI Exceeds Expectations and Turns Hawkish: Bitcoin Faces Increased Macro Pressure, What’s Next?'*
However, the original price trend analysis, key levels, and trading strategies remain largely unchanged.
The content analysis, price projections, and trading strategies in this article are crucial for future predictions and trading operations! I hope everyone takes the time to reread it carefully!
Apologies for any inconvenience caused! Lastly, I wish everyone success in timing the market and following the right rhythm. Let’s ride the mid-term Bitcoin short positions together and make big profits!
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