小龙先生|May 10, 2026 21:41
On May 14th, two triggers were pulled simultaneously - the dual reversal of Clarity Act and CPI
My friends, the expected time window for major Bitcoin changes from May 12th to 16th is really a turbulent time!
On May 13th Beijing time, the Federal Reserve released the core CPI data for the United States;
May 14th Beijing time: Trump leads a luxury business delegation to visit China;
May 14th Beijing time: The Clarity Act is likely to be preliminarily passed.
First lesson:
Chairman of the United States Senate Banking Committee, Tim Scott, Tweeted:
Let's make America the crypto capital of the world. )''
This guy is the biggest person in charge of encryption legislation. Four days later, on May 14th, he presided over the preliminary vote on the CLARITY Act.
The Clarity Act may be preliminarily passed on May 14th.
On May 14th, Washington pulled the trigger on the same day.
One on Capitol Hill and one at the Department of Labor.
One is called Clarity Act, and the other is called CPI.
This is not a coincidence, it's the market forcing you to take sides.
What can the Clarity Act bring to Bitcoin? ——Don't overthink in the short term!
On May 14th, the Senate Banking Committee reviewed the Clarity Act.
This is the most crucial step for the bill to advance in the Senate since its passage by the House of Representatives in July 2025.
According to Polymarket data, the probability of the market betting that the bill will be passed by the end of 2026 is 71%.
But Arthur Hayes poured cold water directly: "So what is CLARITY going to bring? Nothing
Bitcoin has grown into a trillion dollar market without this bill since 2009.
The biggest beneficiary of regulatory clarity is Coinbase, not Bitcoin itself.
The price of Bitcoin has never been determined by regulation, but by global liquidity.
Second lesson:
The real script of May 14th - not a 'good news landing', it's a 'double event window'
The CPI data was released on May 13th, and the Clarity Act was reviewed on May 14th.
The dual catalysis of macro and policy will amplify market fluctuations.
If the review is passed smoothly and the CPI is lower than expected:
The price may pulse up to 82000-83000. This is the catalyst for "Trend 2 (Double Top Attracting More)",
The second top is the gold opening area for mid line short positions, not the position for chasing long positions.
If the review is hindered or CPI exceeds expectations, prices may directly drop to support 78000-79000.
No matter which path, the endpoint is the same - below 78000. The fifth wave will only be late and will not be absent.
Lesson Three:
What are the four reminders for ordinary traders that the change time window is CPI and Clarity Act?
Firstly, from May 12th to 16th, before the CPI hits, we do not bet on direction and do not trade frequently.
Secondly, holding onto 79000, there is still suspense; Fall below, direction confirmed.
Thirdly, do not regard "approval through deliberation" as the starting point of a bull market.
Regulatory clarity is a long-term benefit, while the fifth wave is a short-term reality. Don't shake the middle line judgment just because of one bill.
Fourthly, if the price pulse reaches 82000-83000, it is a "free money position" for empty orders, not a position for chasing long positions.
The last sentence,
On May 14th, Washington pulled the trigger. Don't stand in front of the gun.
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