貝格先生🐢|5月 06, 2026 01:48
Reverse Stupid Money News: US Funds Secretly Steal the Bottom of Asian Funds
BTC has been experiencing a continuous upward trend since early April, which has not yet stopped,
While reviewing various data yesterday, I discovered an emotional signal that I had previously overlooked,
Therefore, today I plan to share this signal with you from the perspective of a 'half flip',
At the same time, I would like to report to you the latest situation of the sentiment curves of American and Asian investors in recent times :
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The indicator in the attached picture is the "US and Asian fund sentiment curve". If you are a new friend,
Or if you are still unclear about the principle of this indicator, it is recommended to refer to the following link first,
I have written detailed concept teaching before :
Introduction to the US Fund Sentiment Curve:
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/1884517487238340829
The super strong top flight application of the US financial sentiment curve:
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/1922851604530897171
Concept analysis of the super strong escape signal "stupid money indicator":
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/1985171420469657843
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As shown in the attached figure, let's first draw the conclusion :
➡️ Starting from early April, the sentiment of Asian investors (red curve) ) There is a noticeable sharp drop
➡️ At the same time, the sentiment of American investors (purple curve) ) There is a noticeable sharp increase
➡️ Based on the above, BTC generally showed a situation of "Asian capital selling and US capital sweeping" in April
➡️ Since mid April, until recently, the Asian capital curve has started to rise, with signs of chasing after it
As stated in the above conclusion, if it were my old friend who shorted BTC with me in October 2025,
Most people may feel somewhat familiar with the above statement to some extent.
2025/11/20: All BTC short positions with an average price of 119500 will be closed
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/1991320675865489815
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Yes, on November 3, 2025, before the BTC crash,
A "stupid money news account" with "price sideways+US capital stealing+Asian capital entering to receive goods" has appeared,
Friends interested in conducting in-depth research can refer to the link attached in the previous section of this article.
Going back to now, BTC's performance over the past month has been almost completely opposite to six months ago:
The phenomenon of "reverse stupid money indicator" has emerged due to the significant sell-off of Asian capital and the entry of American capital to sweep the market.
Mr. Berg's old friends all know:
➡️ US funds are currently the dominant player in the market (relatively smart money)
➡️ Asian funds, on the other hand, are relatively representative of "leeks" and are more commonly involved in chasing gains and killing losses
From the perspective of the changing emotions between the United States and Asia,
It seems to explain the strong performance of BTC since April.
2025/10/08: Warning of overheating risk with US sentiment reaching high levels
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/1975734518217908636
To be honest, as the emotional indicators of the US and Asia belong to the category of "band auxiliary indicators",
And in the past three months, I have always aimed for the 'cyclical bottom',
Therefore, I did not pay special attention to the situation of Asian funds, and I hope everyone can forgive me for neglecting my duties
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Finally, let me talk to you about the recent situation and summarize it as follows:
Currently, BTC is engaged in a game around STH-RP, with no clear winner (see citation below for details)
As shown in the attached figure, there has been a trend of chasing after the rise in Asian funds since mid April
The sentiment of US funds remains high and will be closely monitored in the future to see if there is any "escape"
The same principle applies:
If the US funding curve falls earlier in the future, but prices show a 'sideways trend',
Perhaps it means that the risk of a temporary peak is about to emerge,
As soon as this signal appears, I will also post a message to share with everyone.
Finally, even though BTC has maintained its strength for over a month,
My view on the medium to long term remains the same: 'The market needs one last tremor to complete a healthy bottom.'.
The trader's opinion cannot be bullish or bearish in one day, with eight hundred directions in one day,
I have been emphasizing for the past two months that I believe the market needs a final tremor,
Until now, it has not changed, and all I can do is stick to my trading plan and wait for time to give an answer.
The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone
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Related reading resources
The Battle of BTC Bull Bear Watershed: Strong Crossfire between Long and Short, Increased Volatility
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2051479165527097444
The Last Trembling Bottom Picking Series (12): Latest Data from the "Four Big Deep Bear Bottom Picking Models"
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2050029916578820271
Straight to Script 2: Focus on Price Behavior after Filling the Imbalance Zone of 80-81K
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2047131086883524724
The 'Ten Year Unchanged Law': Waiting for the Periodic Bottom Signal of Massive Turnover
https://(((((((((x.com)))))))))/market_beggar/status/2036258342751076839
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