BTC Short term Analysis and Prediction: Short selling Market, Strong Gravity Zone on the 1st Axis, Upcoming Downward Adjustment! 1) The price rebounded to the strong gravity zone of the upward channel on the first axis, and to break through the first axis, new funds are needed. From the actual energy level at the 4-hour level, there was no cooperation at the main energy level, which is a clear signal of multi head kinetic energy depletion. 2) Long positions may not be strong, short positions may be weak, and the main force of short positions has never entered the market on a large scale. The passive liquidation of short positions and the short obligations caused by short crowding constitute the main driving force behind price increases. This also explains why prices can rise all the way through "short selling" - it's not the bulls who actively buy, it's the bears who are cooked up by "boiling frog in warm water". But this structure is very dangerous: supply is constantly being sold, but buyers (spot demand) are not really keeping up. Once the bears are almost cleared or are no longer willing to hold high positions, the biggest fuel for the rise is cut off. 3) The four hour level of volume and energy has shown a deviation between volume and price, with a significant decrease in trading volume to 54000 units. In the past few hours, during the early Asian trading session, the participation of funds has significantly decreased, and the market is in a clear state of "volume reduction and waiting". 4) What is the market waiting for? Waiting for the mid May turnaround window - non farm payroll and CPI data to be released, waiting for the next news of the US Iran negotiations. At this position, neither long nor short have enough reason to launch the next wave of attacks. Short term prediction: (1) The price has experienced stagflation, and we will continue to clear short funds upwards in the future. In the short term, we are likely to be the first to experience a downward adjustment; (2) Currently around 81500, the long short profit and loss ratio is poor. It is recommended to wait and see, not chase high, and not short. If the rebound stabilizes between 80500-81000, you can go long with a light position, with a target of 82000-82500; If there is a bearish signal when rebounding to 82000-82500, you can take a light position and try short. For reference only, profits and losses are at your own risk.