小龙先生|5月 04, 2026 12:36
Looking at the macro Fibonacci retracement and the recent $600M+ single-day net inflow into ETFs, Bitcoin might push up to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level in the macro cycle, around 84,500.
Bullish targets have reached around 84,500, leading to profit-taking and closing of long positions, while bearish players are stepping in to open shorts. The 4th wave's consolidation cycle has been long enough, and the rebound has hit its extreme price level—multiple factors aligning.
At that point, Bitcoin's 4th wave dead cat bounce will come to a complete end, and the weekly 5th wave primary downtrend will begin. This scenario has a probability of around 10%.
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