貝格先生🐢|5月 04, 2026 01:49
'Unexpected strength': the probability of filling the imbalance area is once again increasing
Continuing the quote below, today I will quickly report on the current technical situation of BTC to you all.
In the following quote, I shared with you a 'left side exhaustion signal',
As a result, BTC continued to rise for three consecutive days in a V-shaped reversal pattern just last Wednesday,
And at 79.5K, a new Equal Highs was formed, which was indeed stronger than my assessment at the time.
//
As shown in the attached figure, the latest key points to be reported to you today are as follows :
➡️ After the left signal of exhaustion appeared, a Retest trend appeared, but the strength exceeded expectations
➡️ If the previous high (79.5K) is exceeded, the 123 rule mentioned in the following quote does not hold
➡️ At present, a new Equal Lows has been formed at 79.5K, indicating the emergence of liquidity gravity
➡️ Based on the above, BTC may still need to be viewed from the perspective of "Script 2", with a focus on the imbalance zone of 80-81K
Straight to Script 2: Focus on Price Behavior after Filling the Imbalance Zone of 80-81K
https://((((((x.com))))))/market_beggar/status/2047131086883524724
In addition, old friends all know that in the past two months,
I have always emphasized that the current large-scale structure is not conducive to the formation of the final bottom,
The main reason lies in the distribution of liquidity, as detailed in the following post:
Reproduction of bear market relay structure? ": Detailed analysis of large-scale oscillation structure
https://((((((x.com))))))/market_beggar/status/2044230985865408890
Today, from the perspective of liquidity, let me share with you another sign:
The upward trend since early April has actually been an unhealthy upward structure,
That is a typical example of 'one side rising while leaving liquidity below'.
During this month's upward trend, it can be clearly seen from the line (marked with $):
Three sets of Equal Lows have already been left at 70.5K, 73.3K, and 74.8K, respectively,
These locations with fluid gravity, before being completely cleaned,
All of them will be great hidden dangers in future price increases.
After all, there is almost no uncleaned liquidity in BTC's linearity so far.
The possibility analysis of the trend of "Script 2" proposed for the first time:
https://((((((x.com))))))/market_beggar/status/2033359397079101623
However, the upward trend that began last Wednesday was indeed a clear and strong performance in the small-scale market,
Therefore, at present, we may have to consider the possibility of the trend of "Script 2" that I proposed in mid March,
If you are a friend who wants to lay out short positions in the medium and long term, when facing this sudden strong trend,
My suggestion is to only engage in the following two types of transactions:
one ️⃣ Left player: Narrow loss+high profit loss ratio to reduce trial and error costs
two ️⃣ Player on the right: Waiting for a clearer confirmation signal (decline) to appear
That's all for today's content. In the new week, I wish everyone smooth trading
//
Related reading resources
The Last Trembling Bottom Hunting Series (12): Latest Data from the Four Major Deep Bear Models
https://((((((x.com))))))/market_beggar/status/2050029916578820271
The Chu River Han Boundary of Bulls and Bears: Suppression from Short term BTC Holders
https://((((((x.com))))))/market_beggar/status/2048943068414632418
Latest data update on '100% win rate PSIP cycle bottom line'
https://((((((x.com))))))/market_beggar/status/2046405843340693984
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