Murphy
Murphy|5月 02, 2026 04:37
What? ..... BRS has been pinned to the zero axis again; Generally speaking, during a downtrend, when BRS returns to zero, it usually signals the start of a topping phase. But there’s one special case: When reviewing historical BRS data before, we mentioned that if BTC is in the process of breaking out of a "downtrend," BRS can also get stuck at the zero axis. The only way to distinguish between these two scenarios is to observe how long it stays there. I asked Claude to analyze the past two cycles, specifically the duration from when the BRS signal hits 0 to when it turns non-zero again: During the 2017-2019 bear market, the longest BRS stayed at zero was 19 days and 20 hours; afterward, from 2019.3.6 to 2019.6.6, it stayed for 92 days. During the 2021-2023 bear market, the longest BRS stayed at zero was 13 days and 5 hours; afterward, from 2023.1.12 to 2023.2.10, it stayed for 29 days. As you can see, it’s normal for BRS to stay at the zero axis for around 20 days. If it exceeds 20 days, you need to pay attention, as it could signal a trend reversal. Currently, it’s been about 14 days since it returned to zero on 4/14. Based on historical backtesting, this duration is already very close to the critical threshold of the "second scenario." This aligns with our observations on whether resistance levels in STH-RP and TMMP have been broken, as well as the investor confidence index entering a "hesitation phase." All of these are just one step away. For more details, check out the links below: https://((x.com))/Murphychen888/status/2049324450651516934 https://((x.com))/Murphychen888/status/2048643306473578577
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