水博乱乱
水博乱乱|May 01, 2026 12:35
Today's Market Took a few days off, back to work today... On Monday, I wrote that if this week's earnings reports create valuation dips, it would be the best 'buy the dip' opportunity... Looking at the results, this wave has once again mirrored a 6% pullback... just like the previous one. Now, with U.S. stock market sentiment driving things up, can we replicate the previous 8% move? Push for an 80k SFP? If you’ve got positions from lower levels, I think it’s still worth a shot here... but first, we need to break through 78k. 78k is a previous high, combined with POC, plus some spot pressure sitting here. So today, U.S. market opening sentiment will be pretty critical. Chart 2: Imbalance zones. Not much reference for now. The low-level imbalance zone from Wednesday is still guiding us. The upper imbalance zone is just starting to appear, with real imbalance showing up around 79k. Chart 3: The order book shows a similar conclusion... There’s over 100 BTC in spot sell pressure at 78k right now. Let’s see after the U.S. market opens—will this be an SFP or a breakout? The 79-80k range above is the real high-risk observation zone (8% symmetry + a bunch of psychological costs). Chart 4: The whale chart makes this wave pretty clear too... The lower whale entry zones are still around 75k (already hit) and 73.5k. The 80k level above has been sitting there for a long time... so the 80k SFP remains a potential opportunity.
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