小龙先生|4月 30, 2026 21:12
⚠️ Important reminder: BTC's' bearish main force 'has not yet entered the market on a large scale! The best time to short BT has not yet arrived!
Let's take a look at the data on the order book. In recent days, the amount of entrusted selling orders has not been high, but the amount of entrusted buying orders is relatively high.
1、 What are the signs of BTC bearish main force entering the market?
In the three-dimensional integrated system, the entry of bearish main force usually manifests as:
(1) Proactively smashing the market: large sell orders are executed at market price, directly suppressing the price;
(2) The wall of selling pressure continues to thicken: the amount of pending orders continues to increase;
(3) Price breakthrough decline: effectively breaking through key support;
Current market situation:
The bearish main force is just building a wall in the 80500-82000 area, waiting for the price to rebound in place. They didn't take the initiative to smash the plate. The current selling pressure is passive hanging orders, not active selling.
2、 What are the main bearish forces waiting for in BTC?
The bearish main force remains inactive, with three core logics:
Firstly, wait for the price to rebound properly.
The ideal opening area for bearish main force is the selling pressure wall area between 80500-82000. If the price is not high, they will not actively smash the market. The current passive hanging of orders is just waiting for a rabbit by the tree.
Secondly, wait for the mid May turnaround window.
Mid May (May 12-16) is the Fibonacci trend time 2.0 node, coinciding with macroeconomic events such as non farm payroll and CPI. The main bearish force may enter the market after waiting for macro data to land.
Thirdly, wait for the bulls to exhaust their last breath.
The bulls won't give up until they touch the 80000 mark. The bearish main force is waiting for the bulls to fail their last upward attack and then reap the benefits.
3、 Inspiration for our BTC mid line short position strategy layout
Firstly, the current position (76000-77000) is not the main battlefield for bearish forces. The bearish main force has not yet entered the market, they will not smash the market here. The driving force for price decline is insufficient.
Secondly, the optimal layout area for the mid line empty sheet is still 78500-81500.
When the price rebounds to the selling pressure wall area, the bearish main force is likely to start entering the market. At that time, cooperate with bearish signals and lay out in batches.
Thirdly, what can be done currently:
1) The main position of the mid line short position continues to wait for the 78500-80000 area;
2) If the price drops directly below 75000, the fifth wave may start early, and then the right side will chase short!
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