星球日报|4月 29, 2026 13:02
Forecast market trading volume to exceed 25.7 billion US dollars in March, with retail investors leading growth and cryptocurrency becoming the main entry point
Odaily Planet Daily News data shows that the total market trading volume is expected to reach 25.7 billion US dollars in March 2026, a month on month increase of 10.6%, with trading behavior highly concentrated among small retail users. Among the 1.29 million wallets tracked in the first quarter, 82.3% of users had transaction sizes below $10000, with growth mainly coming from micro, mildly, and moderately active user groups. The overall market presents a structural feature of "high-frequency participation and low single transaction size". Cryptocurrency assets are the main entry point for predicting the market, accounting for 39.6% of micro user activity. Among them, Bitcoin related event contracts attracted about 593000 users in the first quarter, with a trading volume of 5.42 billion US dollars, becoming the most participated cryptocurrency prediction market; Ethereum and Solana recorded transaction volumes of $1.19 billion and $420 million, respectively. From the perspective of category structure, the sports market ranks first with a transaction volume of 10.1 billion US dollars, followed by the political market (5 billion US dollars), of which geopolitical related accounts for 2.41 billion US dollars, and the overall transaction volume of the crypto related market reaches 7.3 billion US dollars. Analysis suggests that predicting market growth primarily relies on "category expansion" rather than expanding the size of individual transactions. On average, micro users are active for 2.5 days and participate in 1.45 categories, while the activity level of medium users has increased to 9.9 days and participate in 2.34 categories, indicating that users are shifting from single speculation to sustained participation in multiple markets. (The Block)
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