比特虎 (Waiting)
比特虎 (Waiting)|Apr 29, 2026 02:25
[4.29 Bitcoin Tiger Diary] New Federal Reserve Chairman=Bitcoin Monthly Line Collapse? Today, I would like to share with my brothers a very new and interesting perspective, which is After a change in the chairman of the Federal Reserve, BTC will experience a monthly level pullback, So, looking back at the data, is it inevitable or just a coincidence? Real data: Yellen's inauguration in 2014 → -83% or so Powell's inauguration in 2018 → around 73% Powell's inauguration in 2022 → around 61% Will Walsh take office on May 15, 2026? - * *%? Currently three times in total! Preparing for the fourth time, but each bear market actually occurs before taking office It's about to start. The new chairman of 2026, Walsh, is about to take office on May 15th. This time he's still in power Is that okay? Whether to say it or not, Walsh is a hawkish advocate for a balance sheet tightening monetary policy Strategy, but under political pressure, they will still make some concessions to the White House Disclaimer, but in the long run, we still need to be rational and not fomo The real driving force is the halving of the cycle+macro policy uncertainty of the new chairman+liquidity tightening, not the curse of changing the chairman. This viewpoint can be seen as a small probability coincidence in the case of insufficient sample data But I have to admire the four year halving model designed by Satoshi Nakamoto, which involves Knowledge on various aspects of finance, society, human cycles, etc., amazing! Highly praised, with 76500 likes ✊✊
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