陈桂林
陈桂林|Apr 29, 2026 01:15
Still sticking to the view: As long as $BTC doesn’t break below 75,000 and close under 75,000, it’s just consolidation for now, not a direct downtrend. 1. On the timeline, it’s only late April, so there’s no rush for a drop. If there’s some good news or if U.S. stocks finish their break and resume pulling up, $BTC could go up at any time. 2. Observing from a side perspective: Crude oil (Chart 1), gold (Chart 2), and silver moving similarly to gold. 3. The resistance above is also pretty clear. The closer we get to the 80,000 level, the weaker the buying power seems to be. So right now, we can view 80,000 as the resistance level, with the current price action being a consolidation and pullback. From a trading perspective: 1. Either don’t participate, or wait for $BTC to break below 75,000 and confirm the downtrend before shorting. 2. Or bet on a $BTC spike, with altcoins possibly having another run. Set stop-losses and position yourself accordingly. Other strategies don’t make much sense—going heavy on $BTC for its daily 1%-2% fluctuations is just messing with your own mindset. 4. Right now, $BTC is like a dog nobody cares about. If it doesn’t break out, even altcoins are too lazy to play along (Chart 3).
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