Elon Musk wins Altman/OpenAI settlement of at least $10 billion on Polymarket Odaily Seer's Prophet Channel monitoring shows that there is a 14% chance of a new "Elon Musk wins Altman/OpenAI settlement of at least $10 billion" on Polymarket. The contract rules for this event are as follows: As of 23:59 Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, Elon Musk's lawsuit against Altman (case number: 4:24-cv-04722-YGR, Northern District Court of California, USA) will be settled as "yes" in the market if he receives no less than $10 billion in cash or equivalent compensation through jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement during the initial trial stage. Otherwise, the settlement will be "no". If the case fails to meet the compensation threshold during the trial or initial review, or if the compensation is only non monetary relief, it will be judged as "no", and the results of the retrial and appeal will not be included in this market. The main basis for judgment will be official information from the US court system, while also referring to consensus reports from credible media. The case of Elon Musk suing OpenAI has started on April 27th local time, and the jury selection has been initiated. Prior to the trial, the two sides publicly clashed and escalated on the X platform. OpenAI claimed that the lawsuit was baseless, while Elon Musk continuously criticized Sam Altman as a "Scam Altman". The core of the case revolves around the controversy surrounding OpenAI's for-profit transformation. Elon Musk accuses OpenAI of violating its non-profit commitment at the time of its founding and seeks up to $134 billion in compensation. He also demands the revocation of the for-profit transformation and the dismissal of relevant executives. The responsibility determination stage is expected to continue until mid May. Odaily Seer's Prophet channel continues to monitor and predict the market, seeing changes before pricing.