陈桂林|4月 25, 2026 01:26
Summary of weeks 19-25 April 2026:
1、 Market sentiment:
AI remains the primary productive force for printing money, combining explosive and enduring power from Flash Combination to Intel and then to Nvidia's giant elephant dance yesterday;
In the middle, it rotated slightly to the software sector for a few days before turning back. The market proved with real money that AI is the trend, and money only switches back and forth between various sectors of AI.
Other narratives, such as USD 2.0 and securities firms, have to step aside, and the cryptocurrency industry is at the bottom.
2、 Coin Circle
1. Although the cryptocurrency market is at the bottom, due to the high control of counterfeit stocks and the price drop after heel cutting, some have also experienced a wave of explosive growth. Although there are few friends in the car, it focuses on an emotional value hot field;
Regarding Da Bing, a frequently emphasized sentence to the community is: "If your cost is in stock below 65000 and your position is controlled within 50%, then this is a cost-effective long-term holding cost;
Technically speaking, the increase since 64938 is at the same level as the increase from 60001 to 76023, with a 1:1 ratio target of 80960; At present, there is no short selling signal given at the 4H level, as shown by the black line and Fibonacci expansion in the figure;
3. The green line in the chart represents two different trading options, indicating that you have reached a position where you can gradually take profits if you have multiple orders at the bottom, but have not yet reached a short position; Take profit is because it is approaching a critical pressure level, and taking out some positions allows oneself to have more tolerance. At the same time, if it really takes off, the loss points are not many, which is a risk balancing strategy; However, in the absence of a clear top signal, even if the stock falls later, it is still possible to be hit countless times by stop loss during the process of hitting the top, resulting in "seeing right and doing wrong";
If you choose to widen the stop loss iceberg, increase your position, and take a faith short order, there was a group of people on Twitter who did this a while ago. They went from 68 to 70, then to 72 and finally to 74, but now they don't seem to speak much. I don't know if their faith is still there.
3、 Operation and Planning
1. The good news is that since the bottom of the February pie to now, the overall yield has almost doubled compared to the pie. CRCL has contributed half of the profit, and the rest is accumulated from scattered orders. One feeling is that the trend has not been stepped on correctly, making money is really difficult; The bad news is that the cost was almost recovered, and when was it even distributed back
2. Currently, only HOOD has been held in my hand, with an average price of 85. Next week is the financial report, and we still need to see the performance before and after the report before making a choice. Currently, it is the cost price, and the mid-term plan for this ticket is to see if there is a climax during the World Cup period;
3. A more familiar opportunity is to see if the big pie can truly strengthen (breaking through 80000 or more, the stronger the more), and then to see a wave of correction (or when it reaches the top). Shanzhai may also explode, and most Shanzhai are still relatively low;
4. Then wait for CRCL to rebound to a satisfactory price and continue accepting orders;
5. To be honest, the AI track was so tempting that I cried. However, due to my lack of professional skills and feeling very crowded, I was afraid that I wouldn't be able to grasp the rhythm and disrupt the current pace. So I had to wait for a chance like that of a female university to step back and take some positions to eat and earn interest;
6. The rest, such as waiting for the key rebound pressure level of gold and silver to fall short, and doing CL, are all small opportunities that are scattered;
7. On the timeline, TGA accounts will begin to release funds by the end of April, while the Super World Cup in the US, Canada, and Mexico will take place in early June. During the World Cup, hot money will flow out into the prediction market to suck blood. Therefore, for current risk assets, May is the window period;
8. The market never follows the guidance of a single indicator. For example, on April 15th, when TGA started pumping, it did not fall but instead remained strong. Therefore, it is better to take a step by step approach. You can pay attention to the news, but pay more attention to the feedback of the candlestick. After all, the candlestick is the main force drawn with real gold and silver after integrating all the news.
If my X article has inspired and helped you, please follow, like, and interact.
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink