BTC is still within reach of the open CME gap near $81,145, but I am not treating this as a clean all-clear. Price has managed three days above overhead resistance and the April rally has been real, yet the chart is starting to look like a pivot high setup right at the top of the cloud. If BTC gets one more squeeze higher and then rolls over, that would fit the kind of max-pain move I have been warning about. ETH looks much weaker than BTC here, and that is the bigger warning for the rest of the market. It failed again at resistance, the support fan is already broken, and I still think a move back toward $2,000 makes more sense than a fresh breakout. BTC.D keeps pushing higher, stablecoin dominance still looks ready to rise, and that combination usually means more pressure on ALTs even if Bitcoin only pulls back a few percent. TOTALES has technically improved, but momentum is not broad enough for me to trust an alt season narrative yet. The setup I am watching most closely is whether BTC.D and stablecoin dominance can finally cool off. If they do not, then this market is still Bitcoin-led at best and vulnerable to a sharper reversal at worst, especially as we head toward May. Macro is not helping me get complacent either. DXY is pushing higher, USDJPY is back near dangerous levels, the VIX has closed its long, and equities still look stretched after extended overbought runs. Oil jumped on geopolitical stress while gold and silver remain messy, so there is still plenty of cross-market risk sitting under the surface. On the chart side, I covered strength and weakness across XMR, SKY, ATOM, POL, CHZ, PYTH, STRK, RENDER, PENGU, MON, TAO, NEAR, STABLE, and ZBCN, plus a few higher-risk names and non-crypto picks that are flashing interesting bottoming or exhaustion signals. There are still trades out there, but my bigger message today is simple: stay selective, respect resistance, and do not assume April strength means May will be easy.(Aaron Dishner)