Ran Neuner
Ran Neuner|Apr 23, 2026 12:50
SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY. Every influencer is about to scream this at you. And last year I almost listened. Instead, Bitcoin hit a brand new all-time high in May. Then another in July. Then another in August. So before you hand your coins to the crowd again, look at the actual data. Because 2026 is the most complex May setup I've seen in 12 years of doing this. Here's what the numbers say: Since 2011, Bitcoin has averaged +22.1% in May. May is historically one of the FOUR strongest months of the entire year. And the two months after everyone says to sell? June: +8.2% average July: +9.7% average That's nearly +20% you hand back to the market because of a slogan. The real seasonal weakness for Bitcoin isn't May. It isn't June. It isn't July. It's August and September. Every single time Sell in May worked, there was a specific, identifiable, catastrophic external event. China is banning mining. Tesla is dumping Bitcoin. LUNA is going to zero. The fastest Fed hiking cycle in 40 years. It was never the month. It was the catalyst. And right now in 2026, there are 3 wild cards sitting right in the middle of May that nobody is talking about. One of them involves the Federal Reserve, and what's about to happen is unlike anything we've seen in the history of financial markets. In my new video, I break down: The full historical data on Sell in May for both Bitcoin and stocks The 3 May 2026 wild cards and what each one means for markets Why, right now, the data and the whale flows are telling two completely different stories [link in comments](Ran Neuner)
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