Polymarket predicts that the probability of a permanent peace agreement between the United States and Iran will drop to 18%

Seer Prophet Channel monitored that the probability of reaching a permanent peace agreement between the US and Iran before April 30th in Polymarket has dropped to 18%, a decrease of 17% in 24 hours. As of now, the total transaction amount of the contract for this event has exceeded 35 million US dollars. The tension between the United States and Iran has escalated, with Iran refusing to attend negotiations and blockading the Strait of Hormuz. US President Trump has announced an extension of the ceasefire but threatened to resume bombing. Seer Prophet Channel will continue to monitor relevant market trends.