The probability of Polymarket Strait recovery drops to 30%

Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's "Strait of Hormuz returning to normal before April 30th" has dropped to 30%, with a 24-hour decline of 24%. The contract transaction amount for this event has exceeded 159 million US dollars. According to the rules, if the IMF Portwatch data shows that the 7-day moving average of transit vessel arrivals reaches or exceeds 60, it is judged as' yes', otherwise it is judged as' no '. Iran refuses to hold a new round of negotiations due to the US imposing a maritime blockade on Iran and making excessive demands. Tanker trackers reported that two Indian ships were forced back by the Iranian navy and opened fire.