[The probability of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 this year is 86% on Polymarket, with a 47% chance of falling below $50,000] BlockBeats News, April 17, according to Polymarket data, as Bitcoin briefly surpassed $76,000 today, the probability of Bitcoin reaching $80,000 this year is 86%, up 7% from yesterday; the probability of falling below $50,000 is 47%, down 3% from yesterday.