Based on the premise that April 22 is a potential pivot window, here's my forecast for the next rebound high of BTC: From a technical perspective, 76,000 is the upper boundary of the descending trendline since the 126,000 high, while 79,500 is the weekly-level Wave 2 low point and represents extremely strong resistance. Probability distribution for the high points: The probability of the 74,500-76,000 range is about 50-55%, corresponding to a scenario of extended ceasefire with no major bullish or bearish news. The probability of the 76,000-79,500 range is about 15-20%, corresponding to a scenario of extended ceasefire combined with sustained ETF inflows. Core judgment: The pivot window is likely around April 20-22, with the price most likely peaking in the 74,500-76,000 range. 79,500 is a low-probability event, with a likelihood of about 15%-20%.