TraderS | 缺德道人
TraderS | 缺德道人|4月 15, 2026 16:19
Although the media is constantly reporting news of the easing of the US Iran war, based on the logic that Wednesday was the high point (safe haven weekend) in the past few weeks, gold and silver stocks have reached key pressure levels, and oil prices have fallen to key support levels. I adjusted my position again. Because I haven't placed any orders for the Big Dipper and Big Dipper recently, I have released the most relevant crcl related to the coin that has fluctuated twice before. Although the underlying positive news hasn't changed, if the US stock market and Big Dipper experience a correction, crcl is likely to remain volatile instead of directly going to the previous high. I continued to add more crude oil, although I was a bit caught up in yesterday's entry, fortunately the leverage was not high. The underlying logic behind doing the above operations is still that the risk of war has not passed, and the expectation of peace has been overvalued too quickly and excessively. In fact, the internal logic of the United States, Israel, and Iran has not changed, the logic of starting a war has not changed, the elements of war have not changed, and the situation has not improved. At present, apart from a shell talk, there has been no fundamental change, so all assets, especially oil prices, should have been included in the vast majority of peace expectations. So under the pressure of such expectations, when the oil price reaches around 90, it can be considered a fair price after deducting moisture. Of course, it cannot be ruled out that all parties are currently in a tacit procrastination period. Due to the rapid changes in the pace of war in recent times, there are basically several directions per day, and the market may stay longer in the "peace narrative" and be unwilling to come out.
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