Main Rally
Main Rally|Apr 15, 2026 09:37
Is Bitcoin rebounding or reversing? The answer I gave is: rebound is not a reversal! Because there is an important news that will bring down Bitcoin. Latest news (as shown in the figure): The Bank of Japan is highly likely to raise interest rates from 0.75% to 1.00% (+25bp) in June or July 2026. From a historical perspective, every time Japan raises interest rates, Bitcoin has experienced a decline of over 20%, and the data is indeed like this: March 2024: -23%, July 2024: -26%, January 2025: -31%. According to my previous judgment, after the weekly golden cross rebounds to the 32.2% level, it is likely to enter the bottom stage of the golden cross correction. In addition, combined with our previous July October period, Bitcoin is likely to meet the bottom, which coincides with the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in June or July. Latest news (as shown in the figure): The Bank of Japan is highly likely to raise interest rates from 0.75% to 1.00% (+25bp) in June or July 2026. From a historical perspective, every time Japan raises interest rates, Bitcoin has experienced a decline of over 20%, and the data is indeed true: March 2024: -23% July 2024: -26% January 2025: -31% Based on my previous judgment, after the weekly golden cross rebounds to the position of 32.2% (expected to be 8W~8.5W), it is likely to enter the bottom stage of golden cross correction. In addition, combined with our previous July to October, Bitcoin is likely to meet the bottom, which coincides with the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in June or July. Do you agree with my viewpoint?
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