TraderS | 缺德道人|4月 14, 2026 05:12
Haven’t made or shared a chart in a while. Since the drop, this is the third time we’re testing the resistance around 74. From the chart, it’s clear that the 74-792 range was the consolidation zone during the big drop at the end of January and early February. What used to be support has now turned into resistance, meaning that when the bull market returns, the 8w level will likely be a key threshold.
From early March until now, the strength and market context each time we’ve touched this area have been different. The first time was purely a technical rebound test. The second time rode the wave of ceasefire news but couldn’t hold. This third time, it’s breaking through under the backdrop of a blocked strait + oil prices surpassing $100. In other words, despite a worse macro environment, the price is stronger, which itself indicates that selling pressure is gradually weakening.
Moving forward, the blue box area may see repeated tests upward, while the green box area could become support. This process of continuously digesting sell orders upward and consuming buy orders downward is necessary for a proper turnover before the price can stabilize.
In short, the approach to charting here isn’t much different from gold, silver, or oil—it’s all driven by the rhythm of war. The difference is that gold, silver, and oil have a more solid fundamental base, while this is more influenced by liquidity changes in the capital flow.
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