Trump's comprehensive blockade of the Iranian Strait has been fermenting for another half day. First of all, the impact: the oil price unexpectedly rose to around 105 after the opening. But it may not continue to rise, as the professional soldiers of the US Central Command have found many difficulties in the executive level. If the US military intercepts near the strait, it will be within the range of Iran's coastal defense firepower, with a high risk factor. But if it is blocked from a distance, the cost of maritime law enforcement will be too high. Then the King unilaterally announced that Britain would send warships to assist, but in the blink of an eye, he was directly slapped by Stamer and said he would not participate. The most buggy part of Trump's policy is that who has paid the tolls and stopped whom, but TM Iran itself does not pay, so you will not stop Iranian ships? This is obviously impossible, so in essence, Trump's new policy is purely to scare Iran. It has not been closely negotiated with the relevant departments, nor is it possible to implement it, but is full of businessmen's cleverness. Now Trump just wants to starve Iran to death through the blockade of the strait, but after decades of blockade, Iran's compressive capacity is higher than that of the United States. If the blockade is completely implemented, the U.S. gasoline price will soon break $5 a gallon, which is fatal to Trump's mid-term elections. Therefore, after the oil price has jumped and stabilized, it will actually take the opposite logic from last week, that is, last week, because the peace talks plunged from high prices, this week, because the strait blockade increased its weight, it will now be a bet that Trump's high probability TACO or the US Central Command has helped some of its technical TACOs, so if the oil price rises irrationally again, it can consider backhandedness