Bitcoin's most likely price movement scenario around the key pivot date of April 22: The current price pulls back to around 70,500, followed by continued oscillation and upward movement. Before April 22, it rebounds to the Fibonacci ascending channel 0.618 level, which is around 75,000 or slightly below 76,000. On the final deadline day of the U.S.-Iran negotiations, BTC's weekly-level 4th wave dead cat bounce will come to an end, ushering in the weekly-level 5th wave primary downtrend. The best time for us to short BTC will be around April 22.