Indeed, as this friend said, short-term trading of BTC is really hellish difficult at present. For most players, the easiest way is to stick to regular shooting for the next 6 months, trading time for space, and the winning rate can reach almost 100%. But this is an investment, not a transaction! At the transaction level, I have only made a total of 4 transactions in the past 2 months, and I have also synchronized them with my friends on Twitter. Including judgment criteria, opening positions, take profit and stop loss, and other details. The first three transactions were all profitable, only this one was a loss. I opened my first order at 71500 and made up for my second order at 73000. The average cost of the two transactions was 72300, which is 5 times the leverage. By 73500, I had already incurred a loss of -8.6%. My expectation is that if it breaks 73, there is a possibility of going to 75-78, so if it doesn't damage, I have to bear the order. Just last night, I was still hesitating whether to set a stop loss. Because I know that there can't be a trend reversal here, even if it goes up, it will eventually come down. But in the end, rationality told me that I couldn't bear the burden, even if I made the right bet, it would still be a stroke of luck. And we cannot regard luck as ability, because once a habit is formed, it is an extremely dangerous trading mindset. I lost this order, even at the highest position; If it doesn't move, it's earned now. However, many traders who make small profits but suffer big losses eventually return to poverty, starting from the day they "win by luck". Of course, we cannot negate the whole picture just because of one failure. I will do big trends and big cycles, and I will also do short-term opportunities. If it is big cycle data, there is no need to analyze it every day. Pursuing fuzzy correctness is enough. And the purpose of analysis is to guide transactions. What's the point of talking on paper? Some people enjoy watching the excitement and are even happier watching others lose money than making money themselves. But this does not help in improving one's own cognition and abilities. Unless you come to the cryptocurrency industry for entertainment. Additionally, I noticed that there are some sarcastic comments in the comments section. You can keep quiet! If you're really that awesome, you don't need to pay attention to me. Isn't my little trick like this in the eyes of you, the Eternal Earning Master? Hurry up and close it.