皮皮虾Trader|Apr 11, 2026 09:58
The BTC market has reached a critical juncture. Here are 4 simple charts to give you a clear understanding of the market trend.
Chart 1 shows the trend after the 2013 bull market. The two red circles represent the death cross and golden cross behaviors of the weekly yellow moving average and blue moving average.
Chart 2 shows the trend after the 2017 bull market, with the circle behaviors being the same as above.
Chart 3 shows the trend after the 2021 bull market, with the circle behaviors being the same as above.
From the above charts, we can conclude that when the yellow moving average and blue moving average form a death cross, the price adjustment is basically nearing its end. While it may not be the absolute bottom, it’s relatively close. The time period for the death cross to recover into a golden cross is roughly a little over a year.
So, here’s the takeaway: after a moving average death cross, the price is near the bottom, and the subsequent adjustment period before resuming an upward trend takes a little over a year.
Now, looking at the current stage in Chart 4, the moving averages are facing a potential death cross. There are only two scenarios to reverse the death cross trend: either a direct price surge or a sharp drop followed by a V-shaped recovery. In short, only a rapid price increase can reverse the death cross trend. If the market continues to consolidate sideways or decline, it will lead to a death cross, resulting in another year-long adjustment and consolidation cycle.
Stay optimistic—the future is bright. #BTC #Crypto #HODL
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