BTC, IXIC, WTI Market Analysis on April 11, 2026 This week, the global market staged another textbook level "narrative pricing" experiment. On the morning of April 8th, the news of the "two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran" landed, and the capital market suddenly reached a collective climax: the US stock market, gold and silver, and BTC rose synchronously, while WTI crude oil was slapped to $85.5. In just a few hours, the market has completed global pricing using a minimalist formula: Cease fire=peace=reopening of waterways=supply chain decompression=end of inflation. Almost no one delves deeper into variables: has the issue of passage through the Strait of Hormuz been fundamentally resolved? Can we really fix the damaged dock in two weeks? How long will it take for the thousands of stranded cargo ships in the Indian Ocean to truly return to their normal pre war state of passage? Everyone seems to have become emotional driven traders overnight, which may seem unbelievable, but in fact, Nobel laureate Herbert Simon has long proven that in high-pressure and uncertain environments, the human brain only takes "heuristic shortcuts" and grasps the simplest label decisions. This behavior is called "gratification". The essence of this week's rebound is a collective "satisfaction" trade - what everyone is buying is not fundamentals, but the psychological comfort brought by the two words "peace". The rebound may be briefly sustained by inertia, but reality will soon calibrate prices. The frenzy on Wednesday is always the most authentic portrayal of human nature. Figure 1 shows the latest satellite image of the Strait of Hormuz released by WSJ on April 9. The Trump government has asked commercial satellite companies such as Planet Labs to suspend the release of high-definition images of the Middle East conflict zone (including the Strait of Hormuz) indefinitely. Therefore, the public high-definition optical satellite image after April 10 cannot be obtained for the time being. The reason is self-evident. Technically speaking, on March 27th, I defined the upward trend of crude oil at 76.9 as a rebound from 120.3-76.9 and mentioned the important pressure level of 102-104. However, it still failed to effectively break through this range and fell immediately after the rebound ended. In my tweet on April 8th, I provided a follow-up trend for crude oil - either consolidating for a period of time before falling, or continuing the already formed downward trend and falling directly. At present, he has a trend towards the red line shown in the tweet on April 8th, and if it does not fall below 85.5 next week, it will increase the probability of this trend. https://(((x.com)))/BTCTW0/status/2041720863066878361? s=20 Opinion on the Nasdaq on April 8th - The probability of a rebound here is greater than a new rise. Currently, the Nasdaq rebound has been blocked, and if it can break through the pressure range in Figure 2 next week, the rebound will continue. If it cannot break through, the rebound may end and the market may start to decline. https://((x.com))/BTTW0/status/2041726577575358721? s=20 What about BTC? The angle formed by the Gann angle line mentioned yesterday has formed precise suppression. After breaking through this position (Figure 3), there is hope to challenge the high point of 76000, otherwise there is still a risk of a downward rebound ending at any time. https://(((x.com)))/BTCTW0/status/2042422680822169776? s=20