律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|Apr 09, 2026 09:52
TACO Trading Dominates the Market: Investors Bet on Trump's' Extreme Pressure Will Withdraw ', Buying When Prices Fall Becomes Mainstream Strategy According to BlockBeats, on April 9th, as the US Iran conflict temporarily eased, Wall Street gradually formed a trading logic centered around Trump's policy style - the "TACO deal" (Trump Always Chickens Out). The market generally believes that Trump's tough geopolitical statements often end in compromise, so the escalation of the situation is seen as a buy signal. Data shows that before Trump announced the suspension of military action against Iran, the market had already pre positioned risk assets. The S&P 500 index recorded its first weekly increase in six weeks, and the risk premium in the options market remained low, indicating limited investor response to extreme scenarios. Institutional perspectives suggest that the current market is repeating a cycle of "conflict escalation emotional pressure situation cooling asset rebound". Some analysts point out that systemic investors are currently in what may be one of the most profitable environments in history. However, there are also voices warning that this highly consistent expectation may weaken the market's constraint on policies. Once the market no longer generates negative feedback on radical speech, it may incentivize higher risk policy actions in the opposite direction, increasing potential tail risks.
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